India and China have the largest growth of CO² output in the planet. There is a wind industry in India and it is in a spin. The problem is that India’s Central Electricity Regulatory Commission has brought in a directive that took effect recently that requires wind farms with a capacity in excess of 10MW to forecast their generation in 15 minutes blocks one day in advance. Failure to provide to those estimates by more than 30% will incur fines! This comes on top of the 42% plunge in wind turbine installations since the Indian Government withdrew subsidies. The Wind Industry is in turmoil and complains that it will harm their 12-14% profit margins currently enjoyed. If they are making 12-14% after the removal of subsidies, what were they making before?
This move comes after the intermittent and volatile output of wind and solar, some 20GW, led to the world’s largest blackout last year after the grid collapsed for two whole days cutting off power to over half a billion people. With the UKs plans to decommission so much fossil fuel power over the next twelve months, we should perhaps learn our lessons from India and look to the volatility of our Renewables industry. Since subsidies have been cut across Europe, the UK wind industry would be destroyed if a similar directive was applied here. World wide the wind industry is crying foul but the truth is that these conditions are no different that would be applied to any other industry, including gas and coal. Is it therefore fair and right that the wind industry should be exempt from such standards simply to boost their profits? After all, if the grid is not able to handle their output, they get paid to turn their turbines off. In respect to the consumer, if they fail to predict and supply such power, requiring spinning reserve and costing the consumer dear, should they not be expected to pay penalties when they fail to provide promised capacity. After all, the variance is some 30% so that leaves a level of latitude. Problem is that you know, I know and the industry knows that wind is a fickle commodity which can rise and fall in a moment. In other words, wind is an unsuitable medium for a demand led power system.